The Maureen and Mike Mansfield Foundation

The Mansfield Asian Opinion Poll Database

View list of polls

View list of commentary

Return to Asian polls home page

DONG-A ILBO JULY 2007 OPINION POLLS (P07-18)

July 2007 Dong-A Ilbo Opinion Poll on the Upcoming Presidential Election

Date Conducted

14 July 2007 between 12:00~21:00

Date Released

16 July 2007

Methodology

The poll was conducted by computer aided telephone interview of 1,000 South Korean adults aged 19 and older from 12:00 to 21:00 on 14 July 2007. The 1,000 interviewees were selected based on the population ratio of region, sex, and age.

Key Issues
* Favorability ratings of potential presidential candidates
* Political party preferences
* Opinions on the current economic situation

* Priority for the next president

* Opinions on introducing Daylight Saving Time

Link to Original Source

http://www.donga.com/e-county/sssboard/board.php?tcode=90028&s_work=view&no=114&p_page=1&p_choice=&p_item=&p_category=

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this survey research, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use

Survey:

Current Political Issue Poll Summary(9thSurvey Regarding Presidential Election)
Sampleof Study	19 or older male/female acrossSouth Korea
Size of Sample	Valid Sample of 1,000 People
Sampling Error	95% Confidence Interval±3.1% point
Method of Survey	Computer Aided Telephone Interview
Method of Sampling	Quota Sampling on Region/ Sex/ Age
Rate of Response	17.2% (Total Response out of Total Attempt)Formula= Total Response/ Total Attempt x 100
Term of Survey	July 14, 2007 (Saturday) 12:00~21:00
Survey Requested by	Dong-AIlBo
Survey Conducted by	Korea Research Center, Inc

Q1. Currently, there are many political parties in South Korea . Mr./Ms.__, which parties do you support the most among the ones below? (N=1,000)

	2004		2005			2006
	9/11	12/23	2/19	8/18	12/26	5/21	9/29	12/27
1. Grand National Party	33.6	30.1	30.1	35.2	37.3	41.5	48.2	49.5
2. Open WooRiParty	24.8	24.9	29.1	21.1	23.8	19.5	17.9	11.3
3. Centrist Reformists Democratic Party	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4. Democratic Labor Party	18.6	16.9	14.5	18.6	12.8	13.6	13.5	11.1
5. People First Party	0.3	0.8	0.4	0.7	1.1	0.9	1.0	0.7
6. Jung DoGaeHyukTong Hap Shin Dang	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7. Democratic Party	3.2	4.6	5.1	5.4	7.2	5.7	6.9	7.5
8. Others	0.3	0.4	1.1	-	0.5	0.6	-	-
9. N/A	19.2	22.3	19.7	19.0	17.3	18.2	12.5	19.9

2007
	1/30	2/27	3/29	4/28	5/30	6/14	6/30	7/14
1. Grand National Party	48.3	51.5	51.4	40.6	49.7	47.5	52.2	51.1
2. Open WooRiParty	12.3	11.1	11.0	12.9	10.4	10.4	10.4	12.1
3. Centrist Reformists Democratic Party	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.8	6.0
4. Democratic Labor Party	11.2	11.7	8.9	12.1	10.5	11.6	11.7	9.6
5. People First Party	1.5	0.8	0.3	1.4	1.2	0.7	1.9	0.7
6. Jung DoGaeHyukTong Hap Shin Dang	-	-	1.3	2.6	1.8	2.7	-	-
7. Democratic Party	6.3	5.7	5.9	5.7	6.1	5.5	-	-
8. Others	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9. N/A	20.4	19.2	21.2	24.7	20.3	21.6	17.0	20.5

	Grand National Party	Open WooRiParty	Centrist Reformists Democratic Party	Democratic Labor Party	People First Party	N/A
Total (N=1000)	51.1	12.1	6.0	9.6	0.7	20.5
Male (N=494)	50.1	11.0	8.5	11.2	1.0	18.1
Female (N=506)	52.1	13.1	3.5	8.1	0.4	22.8
20's or younger (N=213)	44.7	20.5	4.9	12.8	1.1	16.0
30's (N=238)	39.0	13.2	6.8	17.2	0.4	23.4
40's (N=227)	51.8	10.8	5.3	7.6	0.0	24.5
50's or older (N=322)	63.7	6.6	6.6	3.4	1.1	18.5
Seoul(N=215)	54.5	10.2	5.1	9.8	1.0	19.4
Incheon/Gyeong-Gi(N=270)	52.3	10.9	5.0	10.0	1.1	20.6
Dae-Jun/Choong-Chung(N=98)	45.1	14.8	3.6	10.4	2.0	24.1
Gwang-Ju/Jeon-Ra(N=103)	12.8	26.6	27.9	15.1	0.0	17.6
Dae-Gu/Gyeong-Buk(N=109)	69.9	4.6	1.1	4.6	0.0	19.8
Pusan/Ulsan/Gyeong-Nam (N=163)	57.3	10.4	1.2	9.7	0.0	21.4
Gang-Won/Jeju(N=42)	61.1	13.1	0.0	3.6	0.0	22.3

* Han Na Ra Dang = Grand National Party
Yeol Rin Woo Ri Dang = Open Woo Ri Party
Jung Do Tong Hap Min Joo Dang = Centrist Reformists Democratic Party
Min Joo No Dong Dang = Democratic Labor Party
Guk Min Joong Shim Dang = People First Party
Jung Do Gae Hyuk Tong Hap Shin Dang
Min Joo Dang = Democratic Party

* The Jung Do Gae Hyuk Tong Hap Shin Dang and the Democratic Party were merged and created the Centrist Reformists Democratic Party on June 27, 2007. However, they changed their name to the Democratic Party on August 13, 2007. On August 20, 2007, the Open Woo Ri Party was merged with the United New Democratic Party, which was created on August 5, 2007. As of August 28, 2007, the Grand National Party, the United New Democratic Party, the People First Party, the Democratic Labor Party, and the Democratic Party exist in South Korea.

Q2. Mr./ Ms. __, among the current potential presidential candidates, which candidate do you support the most? The names are listed alphabetically (in Korean). (N=1,000)

	2005	2006			2007
	12/26	4/30	9/29	12/27	1/30	2/27	3/29	4/28	5/30	6/14	6/30	7/14
1. Jin-HwaGo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3
2.Young-Gil Kwan	-	-	-	1.4	1.7	0.8	1.9	1.8	1.4	2.2	1.2	1.5
3. Du-GwanKim	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0
4.Hyuk-GyuKim	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.4	1.5	0.3	0.4
5.Hee-Chan Noh	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.5	1.6	1.1	1.4	0.9
6.Geun-HyePark	18.8	17.6	22.0	17.3	20.0	17.9	20.0	19.3	22.7	25.5	24.9	26.0
7.Hak-GyuSohn	2.5	1.9	4.5	3.3	5.8	6.2	6.0	6.4	6.7	6.0	8.5	7.6
8. Ki-Nam Shin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0	0.1
9. Sang-Jung Shim	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2
10.Hee-RyongWon	-	-	-	0.3	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0
11.Myung-BakLee	22.0	20.4	24.0	44.9	46.4	43.9	45.6	41.7	43.4	38.5	38.8	35.2
12. In-Jae Lee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.0
13.Hea-Chan Lee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.1	2.0	2.5	2.1
14. Dong-Young Jung	7.1	8.2	2.3	1.5	3.3	3.1	3.0	1.8	1.4	1.6	2.4	2.8
15. Jung-BaeChun	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.1	0.3	0.3	-	0.1
16. Mi-AeChu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.6	0.5
17.Myung-SukHan	-	-	0.9	-	1.7	1.9	1.7	1.5	1.4	1.0	1.4	1.1
18. Jun-PyoeHong	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.6	0.2	0.7	0.6
19.Others	1.1	3.8	6.2	1.3	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.9	0.7
20. Gun Go	24.6	25.2	21.2	14.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21.Guem-Sil Kang	-	-	3.5	-	2.2	2.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-
22.Woon-Chan Jung	-	-	-	1.5	0.5	1.3	0.5	2.2	-	-	-	-
23.Guen-Tae Kim	4.2	2.3	2.1	1.8	1.2	0.8	1.3	1.3	1.0	-	-	-
24.Guk-Hyun Moon	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.5	0.2	-	-
25. Shi-Min Yoo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-
99. N/A	15.6	20.6	17.7	12.6	16.6	20.6	17.7	21.9	16.3	18.1	15.9	18.9

Q3. Mr./Ms.__, among the potential presidential candidates in the current majority party (Open Woo Ri Party), which candidate do you support the most?

	Total(N=1,000)	Open WooRiParty Supporters (N=121)
1. Du-GwanKim	0.9	1.6
2.Hyuk-GyuKim	1.3	1.7
3.Guk-Hyun Moon	1.1	0.0
4.Hak-GyuSohn	27.2	31.6
5. Ki-Nam Shin	0.4	0.0
6. Shi-Min Yoo	4.4	12.1
7. In-Jae Lee	3.6	4.6
8.Hea-Chan Lee	5.1	5.7
9. Dong-Young Jung	9.0	19.9
10. Jung-BaeChun	1.1	0.0
11. Mi-AeChu	1.8	0.8
12.Myung-SukHan	5.4	5.0
13. Others	0.7	0.0
14. N/A	38.0	17.0

Q4. Among the potential presidential candidates in the Grand National Party, which candidate do you support the most?

	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=511)
1. Jin-HwaGo	1.5	1.1
2.Geun-HyePark	36.4	40.6
3.Hee-RyongWon	2.0	1.1
4.Myung-BakLee	44.5	49.3
5. Jun-PyoeHong	3.7	2.6
9. N/A	11.9	5.3

Q5. Mr./Ms.__, if former Seoul Mayor Myung-Bak Lee from the Grand National Party and former Gyeong-Gi Govenor Hak-Gyu Sohn from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other for the presidential election, whom would you like to vote for?

	05/30/2007(N=1,000)	06/14/2007(N=1,000)	06/30/2007(N=1,000)	07/14/2007(N=1,000)
1.Myung-BakLee	69.3	67.3	69.8	58.7
2.Hak-GyuSohn	21.1	21.6	21.5	27.6
9. N/A	9.6	11.1	8.7	13.7

*Question 05/30/2007, 06/14/2007, 06/30/2007 Mr./Ms.__, if former Seoul Mayor Myung-Bak Lee from the Grand National Party and former Gyeong-Gi Govenor Hak-Gyu Sohn from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would be better for the president?

Q6. If fomer party leader Geun-Hye Park from the Grand National Party and former Gyeong-Gi Govenor Hak-Gyu Sohn from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would you like to vote for?

	05/30/2007(N=1,000)	06/14/2007(N=1,000)	06/30/2007(N=1,000)	07/14/2007(N=1,000)
1.Geun-HyePark	56.7	56.7	58.5	54.9
2.Hak-GyuSohn	34.1	34.5	33.4	34.0
9. N/A	9.2	8.8	8.1	11.1

* Question 05/30/2007, 06/14/2007, 06/30/2007 If fomer party leader Geun-Hye Park from the Grand National Party and former Gyeong-Gi Govenor Hak-Gyu Sohn from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would be better for the president?

Q7. Mr./Ms.__, if former Seoul Mayor Myung-Bak Lee from the Grand National Party and former Prime Minister Hea-Chan Lee from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would you like to vote for?

	06/14/2007(N=1,000)	07/14/2007(N=1,000)
1.Myung-BakLee	72.0	66.5
2.Hea-Chan Lee	18.9	19.0
9. N/A	9.1	14.5

* Question 06/14/07 Mr./Ms.__, if former Seoul Mayor Myung-Bak Lee from the Grand National Party and former Prime Minister Hea-Chan Lee from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would be better for the president?

Q8. If fomer party leader Geun-Hye Park from the Grand National Party and former Prime Minister Hea-Chan Lee from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would you like to vote for?

	06/14/2007(N=1,000)	07/14/2007(N=1,000)
1.Geun-HyePark	66.9	67.4
2.Hea-Chan Lee	23.1	20.5
9. N/A	10.0	12.1

* Question 06/14/2007 If fomer party leader Geun-Hye Park from the Grand National Party and former Prime Minister Hea-Chan Lee from the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) were running against each other, whom would be better for the president?

Q9. On August 20, the Grand National Party will decide its candidate during its national convention. Mr./Ms.__, which candidate do you think will be the candidate for the Grand National Party?

	06/30/2007		07/14/2007
	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=522)	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=511)
1. Jin-HwaGo	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
2.Geun-HyePark	30.7	35.1	29.5	31.2
3.Hee-RyongWon	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.0
4.Myung-Park Lee	60.3	59.0	55.9	56.2
5. Jun-PyoeHong	0.9	0.6	0.9	0.8
9. N/A	7.6	5.2	13.5	11.7

Q10. Among the Grand National Party candidates for the presidential election in December, which candidate do you think has the highest potential in the election?

	06/30/2007		07/14/2007
	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=522)	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=511)
1. Jin-HwaGo	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.5
2.Geun-HyePark	28.2	33.5	29.1	31.7
3.Hee-RyongWon	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0
4.Myung-Park Lee	62.8	61.8	60.0	60.1
5. Jun-PyoeHong	1.0	0.0	1.2	0.9
9. N/A	7.1	4.4	9.4	6.8

Q11. Currently, the majority party (Open Woo Ri Party) is trying to merge all the parties that are against the Grand National Party. Mr./Ms.__, do you think establishing a new unified party is possible?

	Total(N=1,000)	Open WooRiParty Supporters (N=121)	Centrist Reformists Democratic PartySupporters (N=60)
1. Possible	38.2	46.4	61.0
2. Impossible	46.2	40.4	29.4
3. N/A	15.6	13.2	9.6

Q12. Mr./Ms.__, if a new unified party gets established, would you support it or not? (N=1,000)

	Total(N=1,000)	Open WooRiParty Supporters (N=121)	Centrist Reformists Democratic PartySupporters (N=60)
1. I would support	23.2	39.2	57.9
2. I would not support	53.8	37.9	20.7
3. I will decide after the establishment	15.3	17.5	12.8
4. N/A	7.7	5.3	8.7

Q13. Recently, the Grand National Party has claimed that the intervention by prosecutors over the document leak case related to former Mayor Myung-Bak Lee and former party leader Geun-Hye Park has been an offensive move taken by the majority party. Mr./Ms.__, do you agree/disagree with this assertion?

	Total(N=1,000)	Grand National Party Supporters (N=511)
1. Strongly Agree	9.1	13.6
2. Agree	34.0	38.2
3. Disagree	30.9	27.8
4. Strongly Disagree	13.6	8.1
9. N/A	12.4	12.2
Agree	43.1	51.8
Disagree	44.5	36.0

Q14. Recently, various statistics have shown the economic recovery. Mr./Ms.__, how much do you actually feel the recovery? (N=1,000)

1. Slowly getting better	15.0
2. Not much	64.2
3. Slowly getting worse	18.9
4. N/A	1.9

Q15. Mr./Ms.__, what would be the most important tasks that have to be done by the next president? Please say the two most significant ones in order of importance. (The top two responses) (N=1,000)

	Based on the top 1stresponses	Based on the top 1stand 2ndresponses
1. Economic Growth	60.3	78.0
2. Unemployment	9.2	26.3
3. Social Security	6.4	24.8
4. Unity of Nation	5.5	10.6
5. Demolish Corruption	5.3	13.6
6. Normalization of Public Education	4.7	13.3
7. Stabilization of Rent/Mortgage	2.8	11.5
8. National Security	2.7	8.4
9. Reconciliation between the South and North	0.8	5.3
10.Alliancewith theU.S.	0.4	1.9
11. Others	0.3	0.9
99. N/A	1.6	3.7

Q16. The government is collecting the public view on introducing Daylight Saving Time. Mr./Ms.__, would you agree/disagree with having Daylight Saving Time? (N=1,000)

1. Agree	49.8
2. Disagree	43.6
3. N/A	6.6