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NIKKEI SHIMBUN JANUARY 2008 OPINION POLLS (P08-01)

Nikkei Shimbun January 2008 Opinion Polls

Dates Conducted

January 1-11, 2008

Copyright

Nikkei Shimbun

Methodology

Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Fukuda Cabinet
  • Laws relating to Self Defense Forces/refueling mission in the Indian Ocean
  • Passage of the 2008 budget
  • Possible censure motion against Fukuda

Background

The Fukuda Cabinet, announced in September of 2007, inherited the Abe administration’s troublesome task of extending the anti-terrorism special measures law, which allowed the Maritime Self Defense Forces to participate in refueling operations in the Indian Ocean . Unable to come to a compromise with the main opposition party, the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the bill expired on November 1, and the MSDF were withdrawn from the region.

The bill was resubmitted in slightly different form and passed the Lower House in November, where the ruling coalition has a two-thirds majority. Under Japan 's constitution, if a bill fails to clear the Upper House within 60 days, the bill can be sent back to the Lower House for a second vote. Excising this right for the first time since 1951, the new bill came into force after a second vote in the Lower House on January 11, when the Upper House finally voted it down; the extraordinary session was extended twice just to allow enough time for the government to pass the bill.

After suffering an electoral beating in July 2007, the LDP has been placed in a difficult position where the obstructionist DPJ controls the Upper House, thus bringing Diet activities to a standstill. That the government had to resort to the seldom-employed tactic of taking a second vote in the Lower House illustrates the direness of the situation. Passage of the 2008 budget, if stalled, could also be subject to this approach.

Link to Original Source

http://www.nikkei-r.co.jp/phone/results/popup/y200801a.html

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Nikkei Telephone poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use

Survey:

All numbers are percentages.

Q1. Do you support or not support the Fukuda cabinet? (N=744)

Support 42
Do not support 46
No answer/do not know 12

 

Q1SQ1. For those who answered “support”: What are the reasons for your support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=311)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 29
Good policies 8
Good sense of international affairs 10
Leadership 8
Stability 21
Trustworthy character of members 39
Politically clean 15
Others 4
No answer/do not know 7

 

Q1SQ2. For those who answered “do not support,” what are the reasons for not supporting? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=341)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 27
Bad policies 30
Bad sense of international affairs 10
Lack of leadership 51
Instability 25
Members not trustworthy 16
Politically not clean 3
Others 2
No answer/do not know 2

 

Q2. Which political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=744)

Liberal Democratic Party 31
Democratic Party ofJapan 21
Komeito 4
JapanCommunist Party 2
Social Democratic Party 2
The People's New Party 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other political party 1
Do not support any party 33
No answer/do not know 6

 

Q2SQ. For those who answered “do not support any party” or “no answer/do not know,” if you are to name one, which political party do you favor? (N=291)

Liberal Democratic Party 13
Democratic Party ofJapan 23
Komeito 1
JapanCommunist Party 2
Social Democratic Party 2
The People's New Party 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other political party 1
Do not favor any party 41
No answer/do not know 16

 

[Support + Preferable Parties (N=744)]

Liberal Democratic Party 36
Democratic Party ofJapan 30
Komeito 4
JapanCommunist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 3
The People's New Party 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other political party 1
Do not support or favor any party 16
No answer/do not know 6

 

Q3. Do you approve or not of the performance of the Fukuda cabinet? (N=744)

Approve 34
Do not approve 47
Cannot say either 8
No answer/do not know 11

 

Q3SQ1. For those who answered “approve,” what is the biggest reason for your approval? Please choose one from the following answers. (N=253)

Stance on local revitalization 3
Efforts toward fiscal reform and economy policy 14
Efforts toward pension issues 25
Stance on reducingelderly'sburden of medical expenses 10
Handling of antiterrorism measures issue 13
Handling of North Korean issue 3
Handling of Ministry of Defense scandals 2
Handling of "politics and money" issues 10
Others 10
No answer/do not know 10

 

Q3SQ2. For those who answered “do not approve,” what is the biggest reason for your lack of approval? Please choose one from the following answers. (N=351)

Stance on local revitalization 5
Efforts toward fiscal reform and economy policy 28
Efforts toward pension issues 25
Stance on reducingelderly'sburden of medical expenses 12
Handling of antiterrorism measures issue 5
Handling of North Korean issue 2
Handling of Ministry of Defense scandals 4
Handling of "politics and money" issues 11
Others 2
No answer/do not know 4

 

Q4. As the new bill to resume the Maritime Self-Defense Forces refueling activities in the Indian Ocean was voted down in the Upper House, the government and ruling party held a second vote in the Lower House and passed the bill. Do you support or not support the second vote on the new refueling activities bill and its passage? (N=744)

Support 43
Oppose 38
No answer/do not know 18

 

Q5. The government and ruling party as well as the Democratic Party of Japan are considering the enactment of a permanent law which would allow the Self Defense Forces to be dispatched overseas at any time for the purpose of international contribution. What do you think of this? (N=744)

Approve 35
Do not approve 46
No answer/do not know 19

 

Q6. Do you think Prime Minister Fukuda's efforts to resolve the pension issue are credible? (N=744)

Credible 26
Not credible 56
No answer/do not know 17

 

Q7. In the event that the Upper House votes down the bill on next year's budget, the ruling party is prepared to hold a second vote in the Lower House to pass the bill. What is your opinion on this? (N=744)

Approve 36
Do not approve 42
No answer/do not know 22

 

Q8. The opposition parties have strongly criticized the Fukuda administration's management of the Diet, and are considering issuing a censure motion in the Upper House. What is your opinion on this? (N=744)

A censure motion should be issued immediately. 10
During the budget debates, depending on the situation, a censure motion should be issued 48
A censure motion should not be issued 21
Others 0
No answer/do not know 21

 

Q9. What kind of administration is desirable in the future? (N=744)

Liberal Democratic Party's single-party administration 7
Coalition administration centered on the LDP and Komeito 15
A DPJ-based government (non-LDP) 25
Coalition administration in which part of LDP and DPJ participates 32
Others 3
No answer/do not know 19

 

Q10. When do you think the dissolution of the House of Representatives and the general elections should be carried out? (N=744)

The House of Representatives should be dissolved as soon as possible 11
The House of Representatives should be dissolved after the budget is approved in spring this year 20
The House of Representatives should be dissolved after the Hokkaido G8 Toyoko Summit in July 20
It is not necessary to dissolve it in a hurry 34
Others 0
No answer/do not know 15

 

Polling Information

F1. Gender (Determined by the polltaker) (N=744)

Male 46
Female 54
Unknown 0

 

F2. How old are you? (N=744)

In my 20s 6
In my 30s 17
In my 40s 17
In my 50s 20
In my 60s 18
70 years old or older 19
Refused to answer 2

Average age: 53.9

 

F3. What is your occupation? (N=744)

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 4
Employee (company or government employee, teacher, etc.) 42
Self-owned business, self-employed (including a homemaker) 11
Full-time housewife(without job only) 20
Student 1
Unemployed 20
Refused to answer 3

 

 

 

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